Deutsche Energie-Agentur (dena)/Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (BMWK)
ongoing
Öko-Institut
Reforestation, renaturalisation of peatlands, CO2 removal from the air: what contribution can negative emissions make to achieving climate protection targets in Germany? To answer this question, the German Energy Agency (dena) is developing the long-term strategy on negative emissions for dealing with unavoidable residual emissions (LNe) on behalf of the Federal Ministry of Economics and Climate Protection (BMWK).
As a scientific basis for the strategy, Prognos, together with the Öko-Institut, is preparing a scenario analysis that models possible development paths for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from the atmosphere.
The study also determines a target value for a net-negative greenhouse gas balance for the year 2060 and derives interim targets for technical sinks for the key years 2035, 2040 and 2045. As a range of methods and technologies can be used to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, the project team analyses the various requirements, potentials and interactions of negative emissions.
Prognos and the Öko-Institut will model three different scenarios for the LNe, create CDR portfolios with different focal points and derive targets for technical CDR for the reference years. The focus is on modelling residual emissions and the potential of the various CO2 removal options.
Key points of the long-term strategy on negative emissions (PDF, in German)
More information in the BMWK website “negative emissions” (in German)
More information on our work on the federal government's carbon management strategy
Project team: Sebastian Lübbers, Dr Fabian Muralter
Last update: 29.08.2024
Project Manager
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Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.