Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Protection (BMWK)
ongoing
Institute for Economic Structural Research mbH
What effects do climate change and climate mitigation and adaptation measures have on overall economic development in Germany? So far, the effects of these three areas have been investigated individually or not at all. In an expert report for the BMWK, the overall effect on selected economic parameters in Germany is now to be estimated, thus breaking new ground. The results are also to be incorporated into the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Protection’s (BMWK) short- and medium-term economic forecasts.
The project for the BMWK is being developed under the leadership of the Institute for Economic Structures Research mbH (GWS), with Prognos providing inputs for the GWS economic model. This concerns investments resulting from activities in the fields of climate protection, climate adaptation, and climate change.
The project first clarifies the statistical basis and determines the macroeconomic (preventive) expenditures for climate protection as well as for climate adaptation measures – with a view both of the past and looking to the future.
In a second step, chains of action and channels of action on climate change as well as measures on climate protection and climate adaptation are discussed and examined in terms of their representability in the GWS economic models.
Afterwards, based on combined GWS macroeconomic models, the effects of climate change as well as climate mitigation and adaptation measures are analysed. This specifically concerns their impact on overall economic development, value-added structures, and production potential in Germany.
Project team: Dr Andreas Kemmler, Lukas Eiserbeck, Dr Jan Trenczek, Viktoria Leuschner, Josefine Droste, Jan Limbers, Dr Alexander Piégsa, Alex Auf der Maur, Inka Ziegenhagen
Last update: 09.03.2023
Senior Project Manager
Project Manager
In our report, we estimated the steering effect of the Fuel Emissions Trading Act for the German Environment Agency on the basis of four sensitivities.
The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy has been funding the e-bus market ramp-up since 2018. Together with our partners, we have been investigating how effective this funding has been.
How many laborers and skilled workers will Germany need for the green transformation of its economy? We examined this question on behalf of the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce.
How can Germany as an industry location achieve net zero by 2045, whilst still maintaining its competitiveness? This study updates our 2021 calculations made on behalf of Agora Think Tanks.
Prognos and its partners support the preparation of the German government's 2025 to 2027 greenhouse gas projection reports.
With green finance, greenhouse gases in Austria can be reduced by up to four per cent by 2040 – in the bond market alone. This is the result of our study commissioned by the Ministry for Climate Action.
Prognos supports transmission and distribution system operators in the planning and construction communication of the various power line construction projects at the extra-high and high-voltage level.
The exchange of information and experience within this partnership helps move the energy transition forward in both countries. Prognos is assisting the dena with the implementation of the partnership.
If Germany is to achieve its climate targets, additional efforts will be necessary. We calculated the potential for climate protection in the recycling economy on behalf of the Federal Ministry for the Economy.
Mobility in Germany is becoming increasingly sustainable. However, the transport sector is yet to achieve its national and international climate targets. The ADAC Mobility Index looks at the reasons why.
Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.